Nawaz Sharif arrived back in Pakistan promising to challenge Pervez Musharaff. He was arrested on corruption charges and deported back to Saudi Arabia.
His stay in his native country, from which the former prime minister was ousted in the Musharaff coup eight years ago, lasted four hours. Knowing his return could spark trouble, Pakistani authorities detained more than 2,000 people the day before.
Sharif had promised to bring “a final push to the crumbling dictatorship” but it would appear said dictatorship will stay in place for some time to come. I’m not at all surprised by his failure to get past the airport. Allowing him out could have been the final nail in Musharraf’s coffin — an ex-leader of high standing openly campaigning against him. There are opposition groups within Pakistan but Sharif would at least have had the advantage of previously running the country (twice).
The move could backfire on Musharraf. Sharif’s supporters knew he was there and were charged by police. This, combined with their figurehead’s deportation, will only make the general/president even more unpopular.
What I fear is that this increasing unpopularity will foster a more brutal military regime. As I’ve noted in the past, Musharraf has been reaching out to opposition politicians in a bid to shore up his rule. If he is unsuccessful — and this could either be failure to come to an agreement or undermining a deal by reneging on a promise to leave the army — he may have to take drastic steps to maintain power.